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Chart In Focus

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April 20, 2018

3 Months Into Tax Relief, How It Is Going

There is a very strong seasonal pattern in the way that tax receipts come into the federal government.  The nice thing about that regularity is that it allows us to easily compare how the current year is doing versus past years. In this week’s chart, the black line represents the calendar year 2018 total federal receipts, as detailed in the Monthly Treasury Statement, or MTS.  What we find is that 2018’s receipts are running pretty similar to those of the past 4 years. This is an important point to note, because the big tax reform which was passed in the 2017… more

 

Past Charts in Focus

Apr 13, 2018

small chart Fed is Behind, But Still Screwing Up

Apr 05, 2018

small chart Backmasking The DJIA’s Price Pattern

Mar 30, 2018

small chart What Really Drives the Arms Index

Mar 22, 2018

small chart Crude Oil Swooping Up On Schedule
 

Mar 14, 2018

small chart High Grade Bond Summation Index Oversold

Mar 08, 2018

small chart A Follow-Up On 3 Charts

Mar 02, 2018

small chart It’s the Fed, Yanking The Punchbowl

Feb 23, 2018

small chart Volatility and Interest Rates
 

Feb 15, 2018

small chart Stock Market In a Rogue Wave

Feb 09, 2018

small chart Big Change In Bull-Bear Spread

Feb 03, 2018

small chart VIX Spike Takes it Above All of its Futures

Jan 25, 2018

small chart Finally, An Actual Use For Bitcoin
 

Jan 18, 2018

small chart Ending How It Began (Parabolically)?

Jan 11, 2018

small chart The Chart That Worries Me: HY Bond A-D Line

Jan 04, 2018

small chart Gold in Euros Not Confirming

Dec 29, 2017

small chart Gold’s 8-year Cycle
 

Dec 20, 2017

small chart Architecture Billing Index Shows Continued Growth

Dec 15, 2017

small chart Confidence, and What Comes With It

Dec 08, 2017

small chart Conflicting Messages for Crude Oil

Dec 01, 2017

small chart QQQ Volume Gave Us a Tell
 

Nov 24, 2017

small chart Running Out of Workers

Nov 15, 2017

small chart China’s 10-year Yield Bumping 4%

Nov 10, 2017

small chart The New FANG Plus

Nov 02, 2017

small chart Crude Oil Backwardation
 

Oct 27, 2017

small chart Bond McClellan Oscillator Almost Oversold

Oct 20, 2017

small chart AAPL Not Confirming Market’s Higher Highs

Oct 13, 2017

small chart Treasury-Bund Spread Says Dollar Has More Room to Fall

Oct 05, 2017

small chart Another Narrow Range for McClellan Oscillator
 

Sep 28, 2017

small chart Coppock Curve for DJIA Getting Up to High Level

Sep 20, 2017

small chart XIV Volume Showing Sign of a Price Top

Sep 13, 2017

small chart Silver COT: Commercials Betting Against Breakout

Sep 07, 2017

small chart Gold’s 13-1/2 Month Cycle: Right Translation
 

Aug 31, 2017

small chart GLD Assets Spike Higher

Aug 24, 2017

small chart Years Ending In 7

Aug 17, 2017

small chart Warm Temperatures Mean Lower Inflation, To a Point

Aug 11, 2017

small chart Volume in VXX Is A Tell For Price Bottoms
 

Aug 03, 2017

small chart DJIA Arriving at the Real Seasonal Peak

Jul 27, 2017

small chart How VIX Ends A Long Run of Low Values

Jul 21, 2017

small chart Why Are Bond Yields Staying Low?

Jul 14, 2017

small chart A Different Sort of Presidential Cycle
 

Jul 07, 2017

small chart Phillips Curve Is Not Even Wrong

Jun 30, 2017

small chart Treasury-Bund Spread Gives Early Warning of the End

Jun 23, 2017

small chart Narrow Range for McClellan Oscillator

Jun 15, 2017

small chart Correlation Between VIX and SP500
 

Jun 08, 2017

small chart The Unexplainable 4-Year Rerun

Jun 02, 2017

small chart When Not To Go Short Volatility

May 25, 2017

small chart Junk Bonds Don’t Confirm Higher Highs

May 20, 2017

small chart Will Labor Shortage Kill Housing Boom?
 

May 12, 2017

small chart China Is Pulling U.S. Bond Yields Higher

Apr 27, 2017

small chart High-Yield Bond A-D Line

Apr 20, 2017

small chart Is Iron Ore Weighing Down Stock Market?

Apr 15, 2017

small chart Gold Resolves Some Bearish Divergences
 

Even More Past Charts