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September 22, 2022

Inverted Yield Curve Means 2024 Bottom

The Fed’s rate hiking at the short term end of the maturity spectrum is outpacing the rise in long term yields, which is resulting in an inverted yield curve.  The term “yield curve” refers to the yield on every maturity from 1-week to 40 years, which is difficult to portray in its entirety, especially as it changes over time.  This week’s chart looks at one snapshot out of the whole yield curve, the spread between the rates on 10-year and 1-year T-Notes.  It is now negative, meaning that the 1s are above the 10s, and to the largest degree since 2008.… more


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