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Chart In Focus

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October 01, 2026

Crude Oil and Yields Diverging

Crude oil prices have been in an amazingly strong positive correlation with bond yields for a few decades.  But it is not a perfect correlation, and there can be information in the subtle differences. It makes sense that oil prices and bond yields should move together.  Higher oil prices mean higher prices generally, and inflation is the enemy of any fixed income product, stealing away the value of the future payments.  So it is not a surprise to see them moving together. What is noteworthy right now is that oil prices are not echoing the recent up move during September 2026… more

 

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Apr 22, 2026

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