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Chart In Focus

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November 20, 2014

T-Bond Open Interest Peak Looming

It is time again to look to a fascinating signal from T-Bond futures open interest, one which gives really reliable signals, but only for a fraction of the time.  There is a really interesting price behavior that I have noticed in relation to this open interest peak, which I want to share with you this week.   Every quarter, we have an expiration of T-Bond futures contracts.  And in the month before that expiration, there is typically a peak in total open interest among all T-Bond futures contracts.  That peak is related to the turnover out of the expiring contract and… more

 

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