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March 14, 2024

Election Years Are Different

We are now firmly into this election year, with both major parties' candidates determined.  This moment is pretty early for that type of resolution.  It has also been more than a century since a former president served as a major party's candidate seeking reelection (and no, Teddy Roosevelt's Bull Moose Party run in 1912 does not count). Most of the time, election years are up years for the stock market.  But there are big differences during the year depending on whether there is an incumbent first term president running for reelection, versus when a 2nd term president is term limited from… more

 

Past Charts in Focus

Mar 06, 2024

small chart Quiet McClellan Oscillator

Feb 22, 2024

small chart Crude Oil Says Stocks Heading for Unpleasant Time

Feb 14, 2024

small chart Taxes Will Bite the Stock Market

Feb 01, 2024

small chart HY Bond A-D Line Rehabilitates a Divergence
 

Jan 25, 2024

small chart Manheim Used Vehicle Index and M2

Jan 18, 2024

small chart Complex or Simple Structures, a Message About Who Is In Control

Jan 11, 2024

small chart Bitcoin ETF Approvals Likely Mark Important Price Top

Jan 04, 2024

small chart Seasonality Shows A January Dip
 

Dec 28, 2023

small chart IWM Shares Outstanding Rises With Small Cap Interest

Dec 21, 2023

small chart Plenty of Strength in HY Bond A-D Line

Dec 14, 2023

small chart HYG Shares Outstanding Showing Excessive Enthusiasm

Dec 08, 2023

small chart 1960s Analog Sees Inversion in 2023
 

Nov 30, 2023

small chart Weird Wednesdays for Put/Call Ratio

Nov 16, 2023

small chart Californians Caused Late October Dip (and Rebound)

Nov 09, 2023

small chart McClellan Oscillator for Investment Grade Bonds

Nov 04, 2023

small chart Bitcoin Futures Open Interest Spike
 

Oct 27, 2023

small chart McClellan Oscillator Bullish Divergence

Oct 18, 2023

small chart Revisiting 1987 and Fishhooks

Oct 13, 2023

small chart McClellan Oscillator Leaves a Simple Structure Above Zero

Oct 05, 2023

small chart Entering the 4th Presidential Year
 

Sep 28, 2023

small chart Crude Oil Disagreeing with the Canadian Dollar

Sep 21, 2023

small chart What Bitcoin Is, And How That Has Changed

Sep 13, 2023

small chart Unemployment to Rise into 2024

Sep 07, 2023

small chart Fishhooks
 

Sep 01, 2023

small chart Gold Starting New 13-1/2 Month Cycle

Aug 23, 2023

small chart M2 Continues to Fall, Making Stocks Overvalued

Aug 17, 2023

small chart CEF Share Price Discount is a Sentiment Tool For Gold

Aug 10, 2023

small chart DJIA/Gold Ratio vs. Consumer Sentiment
 

Jul 26, 2023

small chart Further Inversion of Yield Curve Pushes Out End Date for Bear Market

Jul 21, 2023

small chart California Is Going to Drop a Liquidity Bomb on The Stock Market

Jul 13, 2023

small chart Put/Call Ratio Lowest Since 2021

Jul 07, 2023

small chart SP500’s A-D Line at New High
 

Jun 29, 2023

small chart Farewell To The Eurodollar

Jun 21, 2023

small chart Gold Chart Looks a Lot Different In Other Currencies

Jun 15, 2023

small chart Revisiting Baltic Dry Index’s Message

Jun 08, 2023

small chart COT Report Data on Copper Offer A Glimpse Into Economy
 

Jun 01, 2023

small chart Gold’s Model Calls For Crude Oil Bottom

May 25, 2023

small chart Why I Don’t Track the NH-NL Line

May 18, 2023

small chart Copper Shows Bearish Message For Stocks

May 11, 2023

small chart NYSE A-D Line Adds to the List of Divergences
 

May 05, 2023

small chart Nasdaq 100 A-D Line Divergence

Apr 27, 2023

small chart QQEW Divergence vs. QQQ Shows Weak Liquidity

Apr 20, 2023

small chart Lead Prices Foretell CPI Changes

Apr 13, 2023

small chart Crude Oil at Major Price Low, Per COT Report Data
 

Apr 06, 2023

small chart Not All NDX Stocks Are Joining The Party

Mar 31, 2023

small chart A-D Data For Index Components Is Not Necessarily Better

Mar 24, 2023

small chart Baltic Dry Index As Leading Indication

Mar 15, 2023

small chart VIX Index Above All Of Its Futures
 

Mar 09, 2023

small chart Nasdaq/NYSE Volume Ratio Says No Price Bottom Yet

Mar 03, 2023

small chart Three Signs Employment Is Going to Take a Hit

Feb 23, 2023

small chart There is Less Junk Than There Used To Be

Feb 17, 2023

small chart HY Bond A-D Line Showing Liquidity Problem
 

Even More Past Charts