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Chart In Focus

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May 21, 2015

Crude Oil Leads Bond Yields

What if I told you I could draw you a picture ahead of time for what the future of interest rate movements would look like?  That would be a cool trick, no doubt.  But that’s exactly what crude oil prices can do for us. This relationship is part of a category of relationships that I refer to as “Liquidity Wave” phenomena.  The idea is that a price pattern which appears in one dataset can reliably show up later in another.  So if you see something happen in the leading data, you can anticipate that it will happen in the lagging item.… more

 

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