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Chart In Focus

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December 08, 2017

Conflicting Messages for Crude Oil

I like it best when all of my indicators agree, but I don’t get to enjoy that condition very often.  This week, I have conflicting signs for the future of crude oil. The chart above shows gold’s leading indication for crude oil prices.  The offset is currently running at about 20 months; it has been as low as 11 months in past years.  The basic idea is that the movements of gold prices tend to get repeated in crude oil prices. I call this phenomenon “liquidity waves”.  Think of a wave that passes under the end of a pier.  That same… more

 

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