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Chart In Focus

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April 28, 2016

T-Bonds Repeating Pattern of Year Ago

This time, the headline says it all. So many investors believe that it is the Fed that determines interest rates, and thus bond prices.  Or alternatively, it is the mysterious force of inflation that drives interest rates.  But the current evidence suggests it is just the calendar which is really in charge.  Seasonality is not historically a part of how T-Bond prices behave.  You can calculate an annual seasonal pattern for anything.  That does not mean it will be meaningful, or reliable.  Heck, you could calculate a 9-1/2 month seasonal pattern, or 22.3 months, or any time period you like; the… more

 

Past Charts in Focus

Apr 21, 2016

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Apr 15, 2016

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Apr 07, 2016

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Apr 02, 2016

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Mar 23, 2016

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Mar 17, 2016

small chart Bad News: People Are Saving More

Mar 10, 2016

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Mar 03, 2016

small chart Gold Preps For New Trending Move
 

Feb 24, 2016

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Feb 18, 2016

small chart VXX Shares Outstanding Data Work Differently

Feb 11, 2016

small chart We Americans Are a Pessimistic Lot

Feb 04, 2016

small chart GLD Assets Show Resurgent Interest in Gold
 

Jan 27, 2016

small chart Why Lower Gasoline Prices Are Not Stimulating Economy

Jan 21, 2016

small chart Housing Stocks Falling On Schedule

Jan 15, 2016

small chart Groundhog Day in T-Bonds

Jan 08, 2016

small chart Stock Market Committed to 2008 Scenario
 

Dec 30, 2015

small chart Dallas Fed’s Signs of Recession

Dec 23, 2015

small chart New York Weather Is Bearish

Dec 17, 2015

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Dec 11, 2015

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Dec 03, 2015

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Nov 26, 2015

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Nov 19, 2015

small chart Housing Starts - Lumber’s Message

Nov 12, 2015

small chart Copper Priced in Japanese Yen
 

Nov 05, 2015

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Oct 30, 2015

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Oct 22, 2015

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Oct 16, 2015

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Oct 09, 2015

small chart Zweig Breadth Thrust Signal

Sep 30, 2015

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Sep 24, 2015

small chart Bund Spread Gives Permission for Bear Market

Sep 17, 2015

small chart Misplaced Optimism on Housing
 

Sep 10, 2015

small chart VIX Above All of Its Futures Contracts

Sep 04, 2015

small chart DJIA’s Proportional Price Oscillator

Aug 28, 2015

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Aug 21, 2015

small chart Eurodollar COT Says Ugly Drop Is Still Ahead of Us
 

Aug 13, 2015

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Aug 07, 2015

small chart Peso’s Message For Crude Oil

Jul 30, 2015

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Jul 24, 2015

small chart RASI Shows Bull Market Waning
 

Jul 17, 2015

small chart Gold Priced In Euros Has Gone Quiet

Jul 06, 2015

small chart Gold Shows Real Reason for Oil’s Dip

Jul 02, 2015

small chart QQQ Volume Spikes on Selloff

Jun 18, 2015

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Jun 11, 2015

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Jun 04, 2015

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May 28, 2015

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May 21, 2015

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May 14, 2015

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May 07, 2015

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Apr 30, 2015

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Apr 23, 2015

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