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Chart In Focus

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February 14, 2025

Closing the Book on 1981 Analog

I have written here twice before about the pretty amazing resemblance of the stock market in late 2024 to that of late 1980.  Those earlier stories are linked below. It was a really fun analog while it lasted, but now it is time to close the book on that story.  We are not repeating the stock market of early 1981, just after President Reagan was inaugurated.  This breakup of correlation happens to all analogs eventually, and in my personal experience they usually fail right at the moment when I am most counting on them to keep working.  This is especially true… more

 

Past Charts in Focus

Feb 06, 2025

small chart Reverse Repos Waning

Jan 30, 2025

small chart Rising New Lows In The Nasdaq

Jan 23, 2025

small chart NYSE A-D Line Divergence

Jan 16, 2025

small chart Crude Oil Futures Backwardation Spike
 

Jan 09, 2025

small chart Big Spike in Bitcoin Open Interest

Dec 20, 2024

small chart The December Dip That Was A Week Late

Dec 12, 2024

small chart Gold’s Short Term Price Oscillator

Dec 05, 2024

small chart Presidential Cycle Effects With a New President
 

Nov 29, 2024

small chart Credit Spreads Tell A Story

Nov 21, 2024

small chart Sunspots: A Driver of Unemployment

Nov 14, 2024

small chart Post-Election Celebrations We Have Seen Before

Nov 07, 2024

small chart New York Rain and Stocks - - Silly, But Accurate
 

Nov 01, 2024

small chart Bond Yields Foretell Polling Data

Oct 25, 2024

small chart Reverse Repos Mitigate Fed’s QT

Oct 17, 2024

small chart Employment To Population Ratio Lagging

Oct 11, 2024

small chart SP500 Choppiness Index
 

Oct 04, 2024

small chart Deficits Are Horrible, But They Are Bullish

Sep 26, 2024

small chart The Great Unwinding of Stock Listings

Sep 19, 2024

small chart Trucking Data Show A Recession

Sep 12, 2024

small chart M2/GDP Tells Us About Inflation
 

Sep 06, 2024

small chart Wheat & Gold: The Long Cycle

Aug 28, 2024

small chart Yield Curve, Unemployment, and Sunspots

Aug 22, 2024

small chart Annual Seasonal Pattern’s Late Summer Dip

Aug 16, 2024

small chart Yen Spikes On Carry Trade Meltdown
 

Aug 09, 2024

small chart Fosback Absolute Breadth Indicator Shows the Oversold Condition

Aug 01, 2024

small chart VIX Futures Spread Indicator

Jul 25, 2024

small chart Sunspot Cycle Shows a Big Upturn for Unemployment

Jul 18, 2024

small chart Russell 2000 Relative Strength Going Too Far
 

Jul 11, 2024

small chart Performance Difference Between QQQ and QQEW

Jun 25, 2024

small chart McClellan Stock Optimizer Management Program

Jun 20, 2024

small chart Yield Curve’s 15-Month Lag

Jun 13, 2024

small chart Gold Shows a Type 2 Rainbow Convergence
 

Jun 07, 2024

small chart A-D Line Divergence Shows Bull Market Starting To Crack

May 31, 2024

small chart Uranium Blowoff Being Echoed by Gold

May 24, 2024

small chart Small Speculators in Crude Oil Are Still Eager

May 17, 2024

small chart A String of Up Fridays
 

May 09, 2024

small chart Gold Shows an Oil Price Bottom Ahead

May 03, 2024

small chart Cattle Prices Have Outrun Grain Prices

Apr 26, 2024

small chart Inflation Rising Right On Schedule

Apr 18, 2024

small chart Total Number of Stocks Is Shrinking
 

Apr 11, 2024

small chart Doctor Copper Has A Message On Inflation

Apr 05, 2024

small chart Bitcoin Matching Gold’s Footsteps

Mar 22, 2024

small chart More Food Inflation Is Coming

Mar 14, 2024

small chart Election Years Are Different
 

Mar 06, 2024

small chart Quiet McClellan Oscillator

Feb 22, 2024

small chart Crude Oil Says Stocks Heading for Unpleasant Time

Feb 14, 2024

small chart Taxes Will Bite the Stock Market

Feb 01, 2024

small chart HY Bond A-D Line Rehabilitates a Divergence
 

Jan 25, 2024

small chart Manheim Used Vehicle Index and M2

Jan 18, 2024

small chart Complex or Simple Structures, a Message About Who Is In Control

Jan 11, 2024

small chart Bitcoin ETF Approvals Likely Mark Important Price Top

Jan 04, 2024

small chart Seasonality Shows A January Dip
 

Even More Past Charts