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June 04, 2026

NDX and Nvidia Diverging

The stock market has seen a powerful advance since the March 30, 2026 price low, led by tech stocks generally and chip stocks more specifically.  Nvidia has been a big part of that, and with a 9% weighting in the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) it has helped to push that index up in a big way.  But now the two are diverging, and that is bad news. Normally when we think of bearish divergences, they involve a big index and some weaker representation of the market like the Advance-Decline (A-D) Line.  The big idea is that if the indices look strong but… more

 

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