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September 19, 2019

Yield Curve and Small Caps

Back on August 22, I wrote here about how the spread between the 10-year T-Note yield and the 3-month T-Bill yield gives us a leading indication that is relevant for small cap relative performance.  This time, I look at the "yield curve" in a different way, via the spread between 10-year and 2-year yields. The 10-year to 3-month spread is a leading relationship for small cap relative performance, but the 10-2 spread is a coincident one.  Sometimes analysts show that as a 2-10 spread, but it works better for this purpose as a 10-2 spread, since it matches up better to… more


Past Charts in Focus

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